Large occupiers moving early
The most space-hungry occupiers are changing their playbook. Lead times before lease expiry have stretched as scarcity bites. In 2022, commitments were made an average of 2.87 years ahead of lease expiry. This dipped slightly in 2023 to 2.50 years, but surged in 2024 to 3.65 years, and in 2025 reached 4.02 years. Already across central London, 21% of refurbishments and developments over 150,000 sq ft scheduled for 2026–2029 have been pre-let, with a further 4% under offer. This shift is driven by a constrained development pipeline and the flight-to-quality trend that concentrates demand into a small subset of best-in-class towers. For the largest occupiers, early engagement is no longer optional, it’s essential.
Looking down the track
Larger firms looking for prestige tower space with commanding views will increasingly have to look to the next generation of towers under construction, or even schemes further out in the pipeline. With the lack of space currently available, pre-letting becomes the only viable route. In 2026, the prime towers under construction, including Edge London Bridge, 2 Finsbury Avenue, 50 Fenchurch Street and the refurbishment of Broadgate Tower, will be the battlegrounds for the next phase of tower leasing. This deepening pre-let cycle should also support further prime rental growth, with landlords holding scarce, best-in-class space and pricing power firmly on their side.